The market strongly favors Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso | 100% | - | $229K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $1K |
| 3 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $82 |
| 9 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
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This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Gianluca Cadenasso in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mat...
This prediction market tracks whether Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso will occur, with $230K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $230K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 22, 2026 at 22:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso at 100% probability, with $230K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $230K, with $230K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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