Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +25% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | - |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner | 44% | +125% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +125% | $193 |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner | 44% | +127% | $150 |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | 42% | +135% | $19K |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +147% | - |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% | +174% | $639 |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market wi...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (102% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 06, 2026 at 00:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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