The market strongly favors Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov | 100% | - | $398K |
| 2 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 3 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $194 |
| 4 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $231 |
| 13 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $101 |
| 15 | Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Daniil Ostapenkov in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' i...
This prediction market tracks whether Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov will occur, with $401K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $401K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 30, 2026 at 01:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov at 100% probability, with $401K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $401K, with $401K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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