Market is split — National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 at 58%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 2 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $459 |
| 8 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $23 |
| 9 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% | +170% | $25 |
| 12 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 21.5 | 36% | +178% | $70 |
| 13 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 Winner | 18% | +441% | - |
| 14 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $256K |
| 15 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 Winner | 6% | +1438% | $16 |
| 16 | National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% | +2400% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Alex de Minaur in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James D...
This prediction market tracks whether National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur will occur, with $257K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 leading at just 58%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $257K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 05, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 at 58% probability, with $257K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $257K, with $257K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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