Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 78% | +29% | - |
| 2 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 56% | +80% | $58 |
| 3 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 4 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 Winner | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 6 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 10 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-4.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 11 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 12 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 32% | +208% | - |
| 13 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 Winner | 30% | +239% | - |
| 14 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 29% | +245% | - |
| 15 | Completed Match | 25% | +300% | - |
| 16 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin | 22% | +365% | $17K |
| 17 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 11% | +809% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' i...
This prediction market tracks whether Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 16, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 78% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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