US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov leads at 66%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov | 66% | +50% | $26K |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 Winner | 63% | +59% | $3 |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 21.5 | 60% | +68% | $3 |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 1 Winner | 57% | +75% | - |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 22.5 | 53% | +89% | $12 |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +100% | $100 |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 23.5 BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Jurij Rodionov in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 66%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 27, 2026 at 16:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 66% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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