HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 76% | +32% | - |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner | 68% | +46% | - |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 64% | +56% | - |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 63% | +59% | $3 |
| 5 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 9 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 10 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner | 42% | +138% | - |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 12 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo | 38% | +160% | $16K |
| 13 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +160% | $25 |
| 14 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 15 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 BEST VALUE | 31% | +223% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Francisco Cerundolo in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 19, 2026 at 05:25 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 76% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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