Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 78% | +27% | - |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Game Spread +/-3.5 | 53% | +89% | $10 |
| 3 | Completed Match | 52% | +90% | - |
| 4 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 | 52% | +90% | $58 |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +102% | $450 |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.5 | 40% | +153% | - |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% | +178% | - |
| 14 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner | 34% | +194% | - |
| 15 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% | +251% | - |
| 16 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti | 28% | +264% | $21K |
| 17 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 15% | +567% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 29, 2026 at 11:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 78% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms