The market strongly favors Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $177 |
| 2 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche | 98% | +2% | $40K |
| 4 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 Winner | 92% | +8% | - |
| 5 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 92% | +8% | $291 |
| 6 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Game Spread +/-5.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 55% | +83% | $440 |
| 8 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +111% | $7 |
| 13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 | 11% | +809% | $70 |
| 14 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $60 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Luca Van Assche in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resol...
This prediction market tracks whether Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche will occur, with $41K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $44K traded in the last 24 hours alone (107% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $41K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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