Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 77%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 77% | +30% | - |
| 2 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac | 62% | +63% | $24K |
| 3 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.5 | 59% | +69% | $34 |
| 4 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 1 Winner | 58% | +71% | $29 |
| 5 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 54% | +87% | - |
| 6 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5 | 51% | +96% | $59 |
| 7 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Completed Match | 48% | +108% | $16 |
| 11 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 2 Winner | 46% | +115% | - |
| 12 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 13 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +147% | $2 |
| 14 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Game Spread +/-3.5 | 40% | +147% | - |
| 15 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 39% | +156% | $52 |
| 16 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 30% | +233% | - |
| 17 | Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 20% | +400% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fil...
This prediction market tracks whether Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 77%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (78% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 04, 2026 at 15:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 77% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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