Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +24% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 74% | +36% | - |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 | 61% | +64% | - |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 56% | +77% | - |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.5 | 54% | +87% | $55 |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $208 |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +102% | $235 |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.5 | 47% | +113% | $205 |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner | 46% | +115% | $87 |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner | 46% | +115% | - |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar | 44% | +125% | $21K |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +135% | $69 |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 33% | +203% | $253 |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 30% | +228% | - |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will res...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (111% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 17, 2026 at 22:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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