The market strongly favors US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo | 86% | +17% | $18K |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner | 75% | +33% | - |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner | 74% | +34% | - |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner | 72% | +38% | - |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 72% | +40% | $50 |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 71% | +41% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-5.5 | 57% | +74% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 52% | +94% | $258 |
| 9 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 BEST VALUE | 47% | +113% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor F...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (93% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 05, 2026 at 09:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 86% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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