The market strongly favors Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 90% | +12% | - |
| 2 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen | 68% | +48% | $10K |
| 3 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5 | 65% | +54% | - |
| 4 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 62% | +61% | $15 |
| 5 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 Winner | 61% | +64% | $61 |
| 6 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 22.5 | 55% | +82% | $10 |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 23.5 | 48% | +108% | $14 |
| 12 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 42% | +138% | $399 |
| 13 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +141% | $12 |
| 14 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 15 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner | 34% | +190% | - |
| 16 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 18% | +441% | $13 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Alex Michelsen in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor...
This prediction market tracks whether Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen will occur, with $11K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 31, 2026 at 05:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 90% probability, with $11K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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