The market strongly favors Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $33 |
| 2 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $990 |
| 3 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $33 |
| 4 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $302 |
| 5 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 99% | +1% | - |
| 6 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 21.5 | 99% | +1% | $21 |
| 7 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 23.5 | 76% | +32% | $6 |
| 8 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 9 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $15 |
| 10 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 11 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 14 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $13K |
| 15 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley | 33% | +203% | $118K |
| 16 | Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $51 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Jacob Fearnley in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau'...
This prediction market tracks whether Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley will occur, with $133K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $133K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 11, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $133K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $133K, with $133K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms