The market strongly favors US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo | 86% | +16% | $157K |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 Winner | 82% | +23% | - |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 Winner | 79% | +27% | - |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 65% | +54% | - |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Game Spread +/-5.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Guido Justo in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo will occur, with $157K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $157K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 24, 2026 at 20:45 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo at 86% probability, with $157K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $157K, with $157K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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