US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 76% | +31% | - |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Match O/U 21.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith | 56% | +80% | $25K |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner | 55% | +83% | $150 |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 55% | +83% | - |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner | 54% | +87% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $120 |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Match O/U 22.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Match O/U 23.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +135% | $65 |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 32% | +208% | $15 |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Colton Smith in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 28, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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