The market strongly favors San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $346 |
| 3 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $20 |
| 4 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $20 |
| 5 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 21.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 6 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 22.5 | 75% | +33% | $9 |
| 7 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 23.5 | 75% | +33% | $26 |
| 8 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro | 66% | +53% | $181K |
| 9 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $9 |
| 13 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 48% | +106% | $389 |
| 16 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Thiago Monteiro in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if...
This prediction market tracks whether San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro will occur, with $181K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $181K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 31, 2026 at 21:26 UTC, the leading outcome is San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $181K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $181K, with $181K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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