The market strongly favors Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 22.5 | 82% | +21% | $18 |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 62% | +63% | $142 |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 2 Winner | 57% | +74% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 52% | +90% | $370 |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $665 |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $26 |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $14 |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria BEST VALUE | 40% | +147% | $99K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jaime Faria in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Ge...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria will occur, with $102K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $103K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 07, 2026 at 05:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $102K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $102K, with $103K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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