The market strongly favors Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | $26 |
| 3 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin | 66% | +53% | $93K |
| 4 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 63% | +59% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $11 |
| 8 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 10 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $26 |
| 12 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Gentzsch and Max Dahlin in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch...
This prediction market tracks whether Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin will occur, with $98K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $97K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 30, 2026 at 15:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $98K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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