Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | +23% | - |
| 2 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax | 64% | +57% | $12K |
| 3 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 1 Winner | 60% | +65% | - |
| 4 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Match O/U 21.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 5 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45% | +122% | $24 |
| 13 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 14 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +167% | $17 |
| 15 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 36% | +182% | - |
| 16 | Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 22% | +355% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Florent Bax in the Kingston, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Da...
This prediction market tracks whether Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 18, 2026 at 11:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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