The market strongly favors US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $36 |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren | 76% | +32% | $25K |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $14 |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $10 |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Game Spread +/-2.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and August Holmgren in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 24, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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