The market strongly favors St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $687 |
| 2 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 4 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong | 92% | +8% | $194K |
| 5 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 6 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $6K |
| 8 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $112 |
| 11 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $29 |
| 12 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +100% | $17 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Jesper de Jong in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Gue...
This prediction market tracks whether St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong will occur, with $201K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $201K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 24, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $201K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $201K, with $201K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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