The market strongly favors US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler | 100% | - | $174K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $167 |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | $551 |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Joel Schwaerzler in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolv...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler will occur, with $176K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $175K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 26, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler at 100% probability, with $176K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $176K, with $175K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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