Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner | 64% | +55% | $18K |
| 2 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 52% | +94% | $2K |
| 3 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $6K |
| 4 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 21.5 BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Carlos Taberner in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala...
This prediction market tracks whether Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 26, 2026 at 11:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Plovdiv 4: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner at 64% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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