The market strongly favors Completed Match at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $34 |
| 3 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $34 |
| 4 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $34 |
| 5 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $64 |
| 6 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | $232 |
| 7 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% | - | $94 |
| 9 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 4 Winner BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 11 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Quentin Halys and Marcos Giron in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron will occur, with $644K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Completed Match is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $644K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 02, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 100% probability, with $644K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $644K, with $644K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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