The market strongly favors Completed Match at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 98% | +2% | $7K |
| 2 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | +22% | - |
| 3 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 4 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 58% | +72% | - |
| 5 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac | 55% | +83% | $7K |
| 6 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 Winner | 54% | +85% | - |
| 7 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 Winner | 54% | +87% | - |
| 8 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $280 |
| 12 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Game Spread +/-1.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 13 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +127% | $6 |
| 14 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | $146 |
| 15 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% | +199% | - |
| 16 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 31% | +223% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Tomas Machac in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Completed Match is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 28, 2026 at 01:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 98% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms