The market strongly favors Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $6 |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $8 |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $442 |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | $236 |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $4K |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +0% | $168 |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 12 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $24 |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak | 50% | +102% | $180K |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 33% | +203% | $832 |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 3% | +3348% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Kamil Majchrzak in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak will occur, with $191K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $77K traded in the last 24 hours alone (41% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 07, 2026 at 09:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $191K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $191K, with $77K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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