The market strongly favors Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $29 |
| 3 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $29 |
| 4 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $143 |
| 5 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +0% | $325 |
| 6 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +1% | $17 |
| 7 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez | 66% | +53% | $95K |
| 8 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +98% | $297 |
| 9 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | $5 |
| 10 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +102% | $10 |
| 16 | Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 38% | +166% | $49 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Juan Estevez in the Asuncion 2, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Har...
This prediction market tracks whether Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez will occur, with $92K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $92K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 20, 2026 at 22:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $92K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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