Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 79%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 79% | +27% | - |
| 2 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez | 60% | +65% | $46K |
| 3 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner | 56% | +77% | - |
| 4 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 Winner | 56% | +80% | - |
| 5 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +80% | $18 |
| 6 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Game Spread +/-1.5 | 55% | +82% | - |
| 7 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 54% | +87% | - |
| 8 | Completed Match | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 13 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 14 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 15 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +163% | $131 |
| 16 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 29% | +245% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Sebastian Baez in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-H...
This prediction market tracks whether Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez will occur, with $46K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 79%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $46K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 20, 2026 at 09:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 79% probability, with $46K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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