Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 72% | +39% | - |
| 2 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 21.5 | 53% | +89% | $272 |
| 3 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 8 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 22.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 9 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 Winner | 46% | +117% | - |
| 10 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal | 46% | +120% | $13K |
| 11 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 Winner | 44% | +127% | - |
| 12 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +150% | $7 |
| 13 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 35% | +186% | $13 |
| 14 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 23.5 | 28% | +264% | $6 |
| 15 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 16 | Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 26% | +285% | $6 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Sumit Nagal in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes...
This prediction market tracks whether Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 11:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Hamburg: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 72% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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