Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 74% | +35% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 70% | +43% | - |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 | 65% | +54% | $2K |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 52% | +94% | $10K |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 | 52% | +94% | $2K |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | 50% | +100% | $200 |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-0.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +135% | $5 |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | $370 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 13, 2026 at 06:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 74% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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