Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 74% | +36% | - |
| 2 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Match O/U 21.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 3 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 11 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 Winner | 44% | +125% | $22 |
| 12 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +150% | - |
| 13 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% | +153% | $3 |
| 14 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe | 38% | +165% | $59K |
| 15 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 26% | +292% | - |
| 16 | Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +326% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Masamichi Imamura and James McCabe in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Masamichi Imamura'...
This prediction market tracks whether Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe will occur, with $59K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $58K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 14, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 74% probability, with $59K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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