Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 10.5 leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 64% | +56% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Match O/U 21.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 3 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 60% | +68% | - |
| 4 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov | 52% | +90% | $31K |
| 5 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 2 Winner | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 7 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Game Spread +/-0.5 | 52% | +94% | $4 |
| 8 | Completed Match | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 Winner | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 14 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 15 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 41% | +144% | $476 |
| 16 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 32% | +212% | $36 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Marat Sharipov in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 13, 2026 at 07:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 64% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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