The market strongly favors Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov | 100% | +0% | $83K |
| 3 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 Winner | 74% | +34% | - |
| 4 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | $21 |
| 9 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +102% | $187 |
| 12 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 14 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +102% | $27 |
| 15 | Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Marat Sharipov in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ily...
This prediction market tracks whether Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov will occur, with $84K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $84K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 14, 2026 at 04:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $84K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms