The market strongly favors Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 9 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $1K |
| 10 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios | 98% | +2% | $300K |
| 12 | Completed Match | 52% | +90% | $6K |
| 13 | Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jarry and Tomas Barrios in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jarry' if Nic...
This prediction market tracks whether Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios will occur, with $309K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $344K traded in the last 24 hours alone (111% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 20, 2026 at 02:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $309K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $309K, with $344K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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