The market strongly favors US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis | 88% | +13% | $28K |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 Winner | 78% | +27% | - |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner | 76% | +31% | $60 |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 76% | +31% | $430 |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner | 76% | +32% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 64% | +56% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Game Spread +/-6.5 | 60% | +65% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 52% | +94% | $1K |
| 9 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Thanasi Kokkinakis in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Joda...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (50% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 31, 2026 at 10:45 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 88% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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