HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 81%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 81% | +23% | $1 |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 74% | +34% | - |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 21.5 | 62% | +60% | $299 |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 22.5 | 54% | +85% | $5 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | $65 |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 Winner | 46% | +120% | $10 |
| 12 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +135% | $2K |
| 13 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov | 42% | +141% | $21K |
| 14 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% | +199% | $1K |
| 15 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 32% | +217% | $110 |
| 16 | HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 23% | +335% | $401 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Pinnington Jones and Denis Shapovalov in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 81%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (93% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 15, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 81% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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