US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 79%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 79% | +27% | - |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 65% | +54% | $1K |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro | 57% | +74% | $69K |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 36.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 Winner | 53% | +89% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 38.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 3 Winner | 53% | +89% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 Winner | 52% | +90% | - |
| 11 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Francesco Passaro in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro will occur, with $70K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 79%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $69K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 13:25 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 79% probability, with $70K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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