Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 79%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 79% | +27% | - |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | 51% | +96% | $310 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner | 49% | +104% | $30 |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 48% | +106% | $20K |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 45% | +122% | $24 |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 41% | +144% | $119 |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +233% | - |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 30% | +233% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas...
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 79%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 11:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 79% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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