Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | +23% | - |
| 2 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 21.5 | 61% | +64% | $2 |
| 3 | Completed Match | 57% | +74% | $700 |
| 4 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 5 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Game Spread +/-2.5 | 56% | +79% | $4 |
| 6 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 22.5 | 51% | +96% | $81 |
| 7 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 8 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 9 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 46% | +115% | $531 |
| 11 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 23.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 12 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +167% | $201 |
| 13 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner | 35% | +186% | $190 |
| 14 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner | 34% | +190% | - |
| 15 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 34% | +190% | - |
| 16 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | $13K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Karen Khachanov in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac'...
This prediction market tracks whether Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 22, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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