The market strongly favors Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller | 100% | - | $21K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $335 |
| 3 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $20 |
| 4 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | $2 |
| 9 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | - | $10 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alexandre Muller in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if T...
This prediction market tracks whether Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 13, 2026 at 12:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller at 100% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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