The market strongly favors Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov | 100% | - | $124K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $2K |
| 5 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | $14 |
| 7 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $72 |
| 9 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $28 |
| 10 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $9 |
| 12 | Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jamie Mackenzie and Jurij Rodionov in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jamie Mackenzie' if Ja...
This prediction market tracks whether Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov will occur, with $126K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $125K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 31, 2026 at 18:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionov at 100% probability, with $126K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $126K, with $125K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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