Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel leads at 77%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel | 77% | +30% | $29K |
| 2 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set 1 Winner | 52% | +92% | - |
| 3 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Match O/U 21.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 4 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $720 |
| 6 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $15 |
| 8 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Match O/U 23.5 BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
| 16 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 48% | +108% | $77 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Arthur Nagel in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Ma...
This prediction market tracks whether Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel at 77%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $28K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 16, 2026 at 10:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Nagel at 77% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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