The market strongly favors BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner | 86% | +17% | $15 |
| 2 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel | 70% | +44% | $91K |
| 3 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner | 58% | +71% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 55% | +82% | - |
| 5 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $338 |
| 7 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $287 |
| 8 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $86 |
| 9 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 11 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 18% | +456% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel will occur, with $93K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $99K traded in the last 24 hours alone (107% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 08, 2026 at 13:45 UTC, the leading outcome is BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner at 86% probability, with $93K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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