Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing | 68% | +48% | $16K |
| 2 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 64% | +55% | $3 |
| 3 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 4 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 54% | +85% | - |
| 5 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Game Spread +/-3.5 | 52% | +92% | $1K |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $13K |
| 7 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Match O/U 21.5 | 48% | +108% | $10 |
| 15 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 16 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 37% | +170% | - |
| 17 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing Set 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 36% | +182% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Max Basing in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if H...
This prediction market tracks whether Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 12, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing at 68% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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