The market strongly favors Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro | 100% | - | $148K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $1K |
| 3 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $15 |
| 5 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $6 |
| 10 | Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Sho Shimabukuro in the Taipei, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Ha...
This prediction market tracks whether Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro will occur, with $149K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $149K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 05, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro at 100% probability, with $149K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $149K, with $149K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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