The market strongly favors US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny | 94% | +6% | $20K |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 87% | +15% | $7 |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 Winner | 84% | +18% | - |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 Winner | 84% | +19% | - |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 3 Winner | 82% | +23% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Game Spread +/-8.5 | 55% | +83% | $2 |
| 9 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 36.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 38.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Gorzny in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil M...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 02, 2026 at 02:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny at 94% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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