The market strongly favors Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro | 92% | +9% | $13K |
| 2 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner | 84% | +19% | - |
| 3 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 Winner | 75% | +33% | - |
| 4 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 72% | +38% | $222 |
| 5 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 69% | +45% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 44% | +125% | - |
| 11 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-5.5 | 43% | +133% | $613 |
| 12 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 21.5 | 40% | +153% | $24 |
| 13 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 22.5 | 33% | +203% | $4 |
| 14 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% | +251% | - |
| 15 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Match O/U 23.5 | 26% | +292% | - |
| 16 | Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medv...
This prediction market tracks whether Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (91% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 22, 2026 at 09:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro at 92% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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