Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 80% | +26% | $27K |
| 2 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set 1 Winner | 74% | +36% | $30 |
| 3 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set 2 Winner | 64% | +55% | - |
| 4 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 5 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 55% | +83% | $205 |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $20 |
| 11 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | +127% | $793 |
| 14 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | $522 |
| 15 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 37% | +170% | $20 |
| 16 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +852% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Santiago Rodriguez Taverna in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Me...
This prediction market tracks whether Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 10:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna at 80% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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