The market strongly favors Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $872 |
| 2 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | $8 |
| 3 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas | 86% | +16% | $110K |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $776 |
| 8 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $469 |
| 9 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $617 |
| 11 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $97 |
| 12 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $31 |
| 14 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner BEST VALUE | 36% | +182% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas will occur, with $112K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $112K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 11, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $112K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $112K, with $112K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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